Photographers snapped intimate shots of Frazier and her reassuring, older suitor. Yet she chose, of all things, a cartoonist, and one twice her age. Beautiful, wealthy, a Life-magazine cover girl, she could have been on the arm of a president’s son or the heir to any fortune in town. The tabloid press was banned, naturally, so six Daily News spies in rented tuxes snapped photos before being shown the door-all this for the purpose of formally introducing Miss Frazier to society. ![]() Two orchestras-Emil Coleman’s 24-piece in the ballroom and Alexander Haas’s 6-piece in the Palm Court-played all night. Fifteen private detectives, disguised in white tie and tails, kept an eye on the guests, who brought out the big rocks for Brenda: the Burden pearls, the Rhinelander emeralds, and the Rothschild diamonds. ![]() Forty waiters were needed simply to uncork and pour champagne for the 1,249 guests. At 17, Brenda Diana Duff Frazier, the original celebutante (Walter Winchell coined the term in her honor), held her coming-out party at the Ritz-Carlton in New York, where she also lived with her mother. Follow him on Twitter at on Facebook.December 27, 1938, was the paparazzi night of the season. His projects include the Substack newsletter Books on Cities, the book The Stateless City: a Walk through 21st-Century Los Angeles and the video series The City in Cinema. Why Mapmakers Once Thought California Was an Islandīased in Seoul, Colin Marshall writes and broadcas ts on cities, language, and culture. Computer Program Predicts in 1973 That Civilization Will End by 2040 In 1926, Nikola Tesla Predicts the World of 2026 In 1922, a Novelist Predicts What the World Will Look Like in 2022: Wireless Telephones, 8-Hour Flights to Europe & More Pioneering Sci-Fi Author William Gibson Predicts in 1997 How the Internet Will Change Our World In 1997, Wired Magazine Predicts 10 Things That Could Go Wrong in the 21st Century: “An Uncontrollable Plague,” Climate Crisis, Russia Becomes a Kleptocracy & More The key question, he realized, “was not what did I think about the future, but what did everybody else think about the future?” And among “everybody else,” he places special value on the abilities of those possessed of imagination, collaborative ability, and “ruthless curiosity.” As for the greatest threat to scenario planning, he names “fear of the future,” calling it “one of the worst problems we have today.” There will be more setbacks, more “wars and panics and pandemics and so on.” But “the great arc of human progress, and the gain of prosperity, and a better life for all, that will continue.” Despite all he’s seen – and indeed, because of all he’s seen - Peter Schwartz still believes in the long boom. That addiction remains with Schwartz today: most recently, he’s been forecasting the shape of work to come for Salesforce. So everything around me was the future being born,” and he could hardly have avoided getting hooked on the future. ![]() It was the era when LSD was still being used as an exploratory tool. It was one of the first thousand people online. “It was the early days that became Silicon Valley. His own life is a case in point: born in a German refugee camp in 1946, he eventually made his way to a place then called Stanford Research Institute. But you test your decisions against multiple scenarios, so you make sure you don’t get it wrong in the scenarios that actually occur.” The art of “scenario planning,” as Schwartz calls it, requires a fairly deep rootedness in the past. The intelligent futurist, in Schwartz’s view, aims not to get everything right. and China, climate change-related disruptions in the food supply, an “uncontrollable plague” - look rather more prescient in retrospect. But in the piece Schwartz and Leyden also provide a set of less-desirable alternative scenarios whose details - a new Cold War between the U.S. “It’s much harder to imagine how things go right.” So he demonstrated a quarter-century ago with the Wired magazine cover story he co-wrote with Peter Leyden, “The Long Boom.” Made in the now techno-utopian-seeming year of 1997, its predictions of “25 years of prosperity, freedom, and a better environment for a whole world” have since become objects of ridicule. ![]() “It’s very easy to imagine how things go wrong,” says futurist Peter Schwartz in the video above.
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